How Decimal Points Mess With Markets

David Kosmecki | February 22, 2007 in Uncategorized | Comments (0)

A little known fact about yesterday’s CPI numbers: they weren’t as inflationary as you would have otherwise thought. It all comes down to decimals and rounding.

What The Expectations Were

  • CPI: 0.1% increase in January
  • Core CPI: 0.2% increase in January

What The Headlines Reported

  • CPI: 0.2% increase in January
  • Core CPI: 0.3% increase in January

What The Actual Figures Were

  • CPI: 0.174% increase in January
  • Core CPI: 0.256% increase in January

The rounding from three decimals places to one can really warp the interpretation of data. After all, without three decimal reporting, Ty Cobb is a career .4 hitter and Ted Williams is no more special than Ginger Beaumont at .3.

Interpreting economic growth requires precision and the current rounding-in-reporting method is anything but.


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